From a penthouse overlooking the pale blue Singapore Strait, a discreet billionaire made a startling claim: he’d quietly amassed one of the single biggest stakes in Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc.

“I believe in Elon’s great mission,” Leo KoGuan told the world via Twitter.

And with that one tweet in September, KoGuan — already a billionaire in his own right — began to dribble out details to believers and skeptics alike. More, the value of his supposed holdings soared and soared: to US$4 billion, US$5 billion — and, now, to more than US$7 billion.

Is it true? Could a single obscure investor, even one as wealthy as KoGuan, amass such a huge position in a company like Tesla with scarcely anyone noticing? Could he really have become Tesla’s third-largest individual shareholder, behind fellow billionaire Larry Ellison and none other than Elon Musk, the richest person in history?

Yes. Bank records provided to Bloomberg News by KoGuan and confirmed by people familiar with his investments show he owned 6.31 million Tesla shares as of late September. He also held 1.82 million options giving him the right to buy Tesla between US$450 to US$550 a share — contracts that are deeply in the money after the stock closed at US$1,114 on Friday in New York.

Speaking via Zoom from his living room 63 floors above Singapore’s harbour, KoGuan, 66, provided a glimpse into his astonishing investment. The view from his aerie — a world away from the New Jersey technology business he co-owns — stretches from Batam Island to the south to Malaysia to the north to Indonesia to the west.

Wearing a white T-shirt, KoGuan laid out a no-frills roadmap to his trading riches: stick to a single stock, in this case, Tesla; keep doubling down; and, most important, believe in Elon Musk.

“Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose,” KoGuan says. “Fortunately, I win more of the time than I lose.”

Stranger claims have been made — and proved to be true — in an age when unfathomable fortunes sometimes seem to appear out of thin air. Tesla’s relentless rise has minted countless “Teslanaires” and, some suspect, more than a few as-yet-hidden billionaires.

In today’s hamster-wheel race for riches, the big winners can also recall the big losers. Bill Hwang amassed one of the world’s great fortunes in virtual secrecy and lost it all in a matter of days with the market-rattling collapse this year of his family office, Archegos Capital Management. Like Hwang, KoGuan has been able to avoid the prying eyes of regulators and the investing public because he manages money only for himself and because his stake in Tesla — less than 1% — falls below the 5% threshold that requires public disclosure in the U.S.

KoGuan says he’s added to his Tesla stake since September, buying both shares and options. (In a Sept. 23 tweet, Tesla’s head of investor relations, Martin Viecha, confirmed KoGuan’s original claim; Viecha didn’t respond to a request for comment for this story).

When Tesla jumped 13% on Monday after Hertz Global Holdings Inc. said it would buy 100,000 Tesla cars, KoGuan told his followers that his daily gain was in the ten figures. And he says there’s more to come: “I’m all in. Any money I have I spend on Tesla.”

How did KoGuan get here? How big was his initial pot of money? In a half-hour conversation, he sketched in some answers in broad strokes but was light on details. Little has been written about him, although it has been known for years that he is a billionaire. In the U.S., he’s a founder of SHI International Corp., an enterprise software company in suburban Somerset, New Jersey, with US$11.1 billion of annual revenue. In China, he’s known for donating money to a handful of top universities. More recently, his name briefly fluttered to the surface when he bought his US$46 million penthouse in Singapore from James Dyson, the British inventor of the bagless vacuum.

A Wall Street Journal story from 2009, when KoGuan was involved in a luxury hotel development in Shanghai, described him as wearing colourful designer clothes and driving a Bentley convertible. Over Zoom, his exuded a calm, scholarly demeanor. He said he’d never granted an interview to a journalist before.

Describing himself as a retail investor, he said he picked up stock trading in 2019. He poured money into several well-known names — Baidu Inc., Nio Inc., Nvidia Corp. and others — and had some success early on. But as the year went on, his bets soured.

So KoGuan sold all his positions but one: Tesla. On a recent podcast hosted by Tesla investor Dave Lee, KoGuan said Ron Baron, the billionaire owner of Baron Capital Management, and Lee himself helped inspire him to focus on the California-based electric carmaker. He began pouring his money into the stock, juicing the bet with leverage. By early 2020 he held 2.3 million shares (amounting to about 12 million shares after adjusting for last year’s stock split), a stake worth around US$1.5 billion. The year before, he’d even met Musk himself at the headquarters of SpaceX in Los Angeles.

Then markets cratered and his stake was almost wiped out in a cascade of margin calls.

“I lost almost everything,” KoGuan said.

He kept buying, following what he described as a simple playbook: buy short-term in-the-money stock options; take the profits when the stock goes up; use some of those proceeds to buy actual shares — and plow the rest into another options bet. In other words, double down again and again and again.

Financial advisers, of course, warn that putting all your eggs in one basket is a dangerous move. Some analysts also say that huge option bets like KoGuan’s can sometimes become a tail that wags the dog and set the stage for volatile price swings.

KoGuan is unbowed. He pointed out he’s already diversified — he can fall back on his stake in privately held SHI, which the Bloomberg Billionaires Index values at US$3.2 billion. And so what if experts wag their fingers at the gap between Tesla’s valuation and its financial results? He’s among the legions of devout Tesla fans who believe the company is on a one-way path to becoming the world’s biggest.

KoGuan has traced a remarkable arc. Born in Indonesia in 1955 to Chinese parents, he later moved to the U.S. and collected degrees in international affairs from Columbia University and law from New York Law School. He’s mused about the period he lived in a roach-infested apartment in Manhattan’s Morningside Heights, describing it as “my best years.”

In 1989, KoGuan bought steeply discounted assets of a bankrupt New Jersey-based software supplier that became the basis of SHI. He ran the company with his then-wife, Thai Lee, who was the first Korean-American woman to enter Harvard Business School. By the time they divorced in 2002, it was pulling in annual revenues exceeding US$1 billion.

KoGuan says he hasn't been involved in the day-to-day operations since the turn of the century but remains chairman. Lee, who controls the business, is chief executive officer. An SHI spokesperson declined to make her available for an interview.

In the aughts KoGuan embarked a years-long series of donations to a handful of Chinese universities, some of which now have buildings adorned with his name. He also began writing and speaking extensively about something he’d been mulling for years: how to build a better system for society. The result is what he calls “Xuan Yuan Culture and Civilization 2.0 powered by KQID time engine,” a concept modelled on the legend of the Yellow Emperor, a revered figure who is said to have ruled China for a 100 year-period of unprecedented development and ascended to heaven after having fathered 25 children.

Has KoGuan ever been tempted to cash in his billion-dollar gains and move on? No, he’s told his followers: the goal is to accumulate US$100 billion or more of wealth and use this money to fund the implementation of his concept, which he says will help society provide free health care and material comfort for all people.

“I look at it like a squirrel,” he says. “You collect acorns and you eat some. But most you are trying to keep for the winter and you don’t eat until later.”

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