How UK's coronavirus outbreak is shrinking: App data and ONS statistics estimate between 3,300 and 3,800 new infections per day in England as virus continues weekly fade in Britain
- App run by King's College London scientists estimates that the Midlands is recording the most daily cases
- England data suggests daily cases have fallen from 11,000 to 3,400 in a month - described as 'good news'
- Office for National Statistics estimate was similar (3,800) but said the downward trend was slowing down
- The ONS statisticians predicts there are 26,900 new cases of Covid-19 occurring each week in England
- Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19
Britain's coronavirus outbreak is continuing to shrink as two separate batches of data released today suggested only 3,300 to 3,800 people are getting infected each day in England.
Estimates from the King's College London's COVID Symptom Tracker app say the number of people being struck down each day has plunged by a quarter in just a week to 3,391 each day. The researchers — who projected the figure was as high as 11,000 just a month ago — have been collecting reports of symptoms and test results from a million UK citizens since the pandemic began.
And government data from the Office for National Statistics has predicted that around 3,800 people are catching the virus each day across the nation — some 26,900 per week. The estimate is based on testing in a representative sample of almost 25,000 people across England, only 10 of whom swabbed positive.
Neither estimate provides projections for Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland — but both represent a drop from same set of statistics released last week and show the virus is continuing to fade away in Britain, after terrorizing the nation for months.
The two similar estimates are around five times lower than the projection of Public Health England and Cambridge University experts, who a fortnight ago estimated nearly 17,000 cases a day were occurring across the country.
Department of Health statistics today revealed 1,218 more Brits have been diagnosed with coronavirus — but these figures never show the true scale of the outbreak because many people who catch the virus never swab positive because they don't realise they are sick, couldn't get a test, or the result was wrong.
The number of people who have been diagnosed in total during the UK's epidemic is still unknown. Blood testing data published today by the ONS suggested that only 5.4 per cent of England have had the disease — 3.14million people.
However, this figure was lower than the 6.5 per cent it found in its last estimate because it tested different blood samples (total 1,757) which happened to have a smaller proportion of people who had already been infected, the ONS said.